» Sun Mar 06, 2011 12:18 pm
Like Hungry said, he ran a myriad of anolysis based on political events and used some mathmatical calculations to predict it. He predicted October 24,2077, fifteen years time from his projections. However, through either mathmatical error or some event beyond his forsight, he was 20 hours short of his projections. According the House, his plans would have gone without a hitch, but the chip was to be hand delivered to him at the Lucky 38 on October 23,2077, the day, unbeknownst to House, the bombs would fall.
Edit: Reaper, he didn't own Vault 21 at the time of the War, he owned the Lucky 38 alone, it wasnt until his emergence he made a bid for Vault 21, and he won it, in what was apparently a game of Blackjack. My assumption for wanting the Vault has to do with Vault 21's energy and sources, if you notice carefully, on the second floor of the Vault, there is a small mainframe room, if you touch it, theres a menu, one of the interesting options is 'Life Support Systems' but any submenu you try to access is denied by the House Mainframe.