My Little Pony's Self Driving Cars

Post » Mon May 14, 2012 4:28 pm

Please list some of these said systems.
It's what pilots the drones over warzones for example.. basically it's a comity of computers that all share in the responsibility of flying the thing, they take decisions together and majority rules.

The likelihood of such a system making that kind of fatal mistake is probably a lot less likely than some drunk idiot t-boning you at a stop light. :shrug:
And yet.., I really wanna be yelling at the drunk slob, and not at his dashboard if I'm T-boned.. :tongue:



For some stupid reason though, when there is a failure, it has this dumb glitch where it triggers a haulage that activates the breaks.
Which could be very bad, on a busy freeway at high speeds..

In my opinion, having worked for many years in the field with some of the most robust military systems in the world, the more complex the system is, the bigger the [censored] up ratio gets.
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brenden casey
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:13 pm

Please list some of these said systems.
Off the top of my head...airplanes, satellites, manufacturing...all automated up to their eyeballs. The point I'm trying to make is that there are plenty of ways to make sure people don't get hurt when/if something goes wrong. The thing isn't a personal computer...it's not going to BSOD and drive you off a cliff. :P If there was a higher probability that the system might actually kill someone because it can't think like a human than the probability of a human driver killing someone because they do think like a human I'd be amazed.
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alyssa ALYSSA
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 1:39 am

Blue screen of Death could have a more literal meaning if it happened while driving :smile:

Damn! Beat to the joke in the same minute ^
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Star Dunkels Macmillan
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 3:00 am

It's what pilots the drones over warzones for example.. basically it's a comity of computers that all share in the responsibility of flying the thing, they take decisions together and majority rules.

True. But don't compare these drones to driving a car, first of all they have a much greater field of movement, secondly there is no pilot who's life is at stake. Also, there are drones which are remote controlled by humans.
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clelia vega
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 2:01 am

True. But don't compare these drones to driving a car, first of all they have a much greater field of movement, secondly there is no pilot who's life is at stake. Also, there are drones which are remote controlled by humans.
I won't.

But if I have anything less than full blown military auto-piloting capabilities in my car, I'm keeping my hands on the wheel. :yes:
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Naazhe Perezz
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 4:49 pm

Off the top of my head...airplanes, satellites, manufacturing...all automated up to their eyeballs. The point I'm trying to make is that there are plenty of ways to make sure people don't get hurt when/if something goes wrong. The thing isn't a personal computer...it's not going to BSOD and drive you off a cliff. :tongue: If there was a higher probability that the system might actually kill someone because it can't think like a human than the probability of a human driver killing someone because they do think like a human I'd be amazed.

Thank you for complying. When I asked you to list these systems, I wasn't doubting they exist. However, the situations in which they are used differ greatly from driving a car.
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Andres Lechuga
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 5:55 am

True. But don't compare these drones to driving a car, first of all they have a much greater field of movement, secondly there is no pilot who's life is at stake. Also, there are drones which are remote controlled by humans.
Nobody is arguing that automated cars would do away with car accidents, though. If vehicular death rates go down (and I'd bet quite a lot that they would) then that's an improvement.
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Danial Zachery
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 1:44 am

Nobody is arguing that automated cars would do away with car accidents, though. If vehicular death rates go down (and I'd bet quite a lot that they would) then that's an improvement.

The only way to test this would be to put the said automated systems to work. Personally, I hope they won't. :smile:
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Symone Velez
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 1:13 am

Wow, it's the first time that this: http://xkcd.com/386/ has happened bad enough to make me connect my phone to my computer at work so I can log in and use a physical keyboard to post on the forums.

Until some hacker who either A: Hates you, or B: Wants to have some random fun killing people, decides to hack the system your car is using(and don't tell me it wouldn't be possible. It's electronic and it would have to have some kind of connection to the internet at large in order to access navigational tools), and over-rides all safety systems and makes your car go top speed into a tree. That can't happen with a car that isn't autonomous. And before you make the argument, yes random people like that could still cut your car brakes, but once they don't have to leave their house in order to create mayhem, I definitely foresee a much larger percentage of people like that coming out of the woodwork. Within the first year of something like this being implemented there would be probably be dozens, if not hundreds of security break-ins resulting in fatal crashes.
Oh please, don't pull the hacker card. There's no need to have the failsafe unit be accessible to any input. The hacker card is only pulled by people who don't know what they're talking about

Comparing warehouse trollies to actual driving on public roads is a ridiculous notion.
You're right, navigating by radar instead of getting cues beforehand to a change due to integration with an already automated traffic light system is much more dangerous :wink:

Which could be very bad, on a busy freeway at high speeds..

In my opinion, having worked for many years in the field with some of the most robust military systems in the world, the more complex the system is, the bigger the [censored] up ratio gets.
Not when everything is automated

Machines on the other hand, are totally incapable of making logical decisions within any allotted time limit unless it has been programmed, and thus they do not MAKE the decision, it has been made for them and the decision to choose this decision has already been programmed. You cannot possibly program a command for any outcome.
Which is what failsafes are for

Hitting the breaks does not guarantee safety in an accident, actually it can guarantee death under certain circumstances.
Except... everything is automated so every car has ample spacing between them and will be able to break in time. There are significantly less accidents also, because it's all automated. Finally this sends out a message informing cars further back on the road so they get out of the lane in time, while cars in other lanes make room for them keeping all traffic-related congestion to a minimum,

The only way to test this would be to put the said automated systems to work. Personally, I hope they won't. :smile:
They already do. Every year in various places hobbiests and large corporations get together and test their automated cars on the road and by and large they are very successful and collisions are mostly a thing of the past (2008)
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Mylizards Dot com
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 9:12 pm

Does anyone know how many people drive around with a busted tail light and don't know it?

now think rear proximity sensor.

there's just too much that'll need constant upkeep and maintenance.. and people are lazy, if not outright ignorant..
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Bethany Watkin
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 6:32 pm

The only way to test this would be to put the said automated systems to work. Personally, I hope they won't. :smile:
Of course. Someone has to drink the juice to make sure it doesn't turn you green. :P Maybe I'm biased because software engineering is kinda my thing, but I'd feel a heck of a lot safer with computers driving than with people driving. :shrug:
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Star Dunkels Macmillan
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 10:57 pm

Does anyone know how many people drive around with a busted tail light and don't know it?

now think rear proximity sensor.

there's just too much that'll need constant upkeep and maintenance.. and people are lazy, if not outright ignorant..
The wonderful thing about automated cars is they would be able to tell you if something is busted and refuse to allow you to drive with something like a broken sensor.

Yay failsafes!
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Oscar Vazquez
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 2:45 am




Oh please, don't pull the hacker card. There's no need to have the failsafe unit be accessible to any input. The hacker card is only pulled by people who don't know what they're talking about



And you know any better? Honestly once a person gets ahold of the security system that links the car to the main computer, there is no reason they couldn't get into the inner-workings of the car itself and shut down that fail-safe. Honestly, you're kind of in the minority in this thread, it seems to me that a lot of people would much prefer to remain in control of their vehicles. Can you think of the reason why? Hint: It's because human judgement, while prone to errors, is in general, better then a computer systems, because we can account for ALL external factors, not just what the car can sense. A fully autonomous car is just a bad idea in general, until they can guarantee 100% safety 100% of the time, with absolutely no chance of error. And since there is always a possibility of error, especially in computer systems, that will never happen. Even beyond that, It still will never happen because, like in this thread, people who think fully autonomous cars are the greatest thing ever, are going to be in the minority to the people who enjoy driving and don't want to give it up to a computer system. This is a novelty, nothing more, nothing less.
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Gemma Archer
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:14 pm

And you know any better? Honestly once a person gets ahold of the security system that links the car to the main computer, there is no reason they couldn't get into the inner-workings of the car itself and shut down that fail-safe.
There's no external security system for them to get ahold of. The failsafe would be (and is) tamper resistant to prevent such actions.

Honestly, you're kind of in the minority in this thread, it seems to me that a lot of people would much prefer to remain in control of their vehicles. Can you think of the reason why? Hint: It's because human judgement, while prone to errors, is in general, better then a computer systems, because we can account for ALL external factors, not just what the car can sense.
People have given up the majority of control in the majority of vehicles. The only one where it hasn't happened yet is the average household car. Humans are incapable of driving most vehicles by hand, actually. So you are quite literally wrong. In fact, the last time people refused to give up control was when commercial jet airliners first started gaining popularity. Guess what? airplane crashes during landing were greatly increased until the FAA basically told pilots to let the computers do their dang job.


A fully autonomous car is just a bad idea in general, until they can guarantee 100% safety 100% of the time, with absolutely no chance of error. And since there is always a possibility of error, especially in computer systems, that will never happen. Even beyond that, It still will never happen because, like in this thread, people who think fully autonomous cars are the greatest thing ever, are going to be in the minority to the people who enjoy driving and don't want to give it up to a computer system. This is a novelty, nothing more, nothing less.
The potential for error in a computer system is far smaller than the potential for error in humans, this is the major reason almost everything in the modern world is automated. The potential for error in a computer system can also be kept in check through failsafe systems (WHICH ARE SEPARATE SYSTEMS AND NOT INTEGRATED INTO THE MAIN UNIT SYSTEM), unlike with people.
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Bereket Fekadu
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 10:34 pm

The wonderful thing about automated cars is they would be able to tell you if something is busted and refuse to allow you to drive with something like a broken sensor.

Yay failsafes!

My friend there is no such thing as a failsafe for any given situation (even in a fully-automated system, which by the way would be incredibly difficult to organize world-wide or even country-wide), it's the beauty of our world :biggrin: . Not to mention that these cars would probably cost significantly more and few would buy them (thus the entire system could not be automated). And a half-assed auto system with the other half of the population not having a clue as to what's going on is the proverbial "recipe for disaster". As for my final point, in a fully automated system, one little problem can cause a massive domino effect. Generally, the more complex something is the likelier something will get messed up (though failure is eventually guaranteed even in a simple system). Think cancer; the reason it's so difficult to destroy is because it's so darn simple!
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Kathryn Medows
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:08 pm

Automated driving would greatly decrease commute time as all congestion not caused by accidents is due to selfish human drivers and poor driving practices (following to close, not using blinkers, etc). Not to mention most accidents are caused by human,stupidity too. It's like queues. When you have a single queue everyone gets out faster as it takes the human element out, which is flawed, selfish, and thinks it is better than it actually is.
I know. I'm just saying I like to drive, I like being in control of my car not a computer.

Soon our world will be like the one of Wall-E. Where everything is computer automated and everyone is lazy and obese.
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Benjamin Holz
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 3:59 pm

The wonderful thing about automated cars is they would be able to tell you if something is busted and refuse to allow you to drive with something like a broken sensor.

Yay failsafes!
still not convinced :P


It's like you said yourself a few posts ago -it'll only be safe when the entire system is automated. Completely. No exception.

Which means people would need to be automated as well, since their behavior is an inherent part of the system.

Christ Deffy, you live in socal.. how many friggin' beaters do you see on the highway everyday? Do you think people's attitudes will change just because their car does more than tell 'em to buckle up?


How many people won't jury rig their car to run without the sensor anyway, because they're late for work and can't care enough to deal with it? What do we do with these people, since they'll hardly stands out using generalized multiple choice tests?

It's human nature I don't trust, not the automated systems... and those two will be at war for the domination of the steering wheel for a looong time coming me thinks.
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elliot mudd
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:54 pm

My friend there is no such thing as a failsafe for any given situation (even in a fully-automated system, which by the way would be incredibly difficult to organize world-wide or even country-wide), it's the beauty of our world :biggrin: .
No it wouldn't, actually. Since most of the traffic control systems are already automated, the job is already half-done. I <3 sigalert.

Not to mention that these cars would probably cost significantly more and few would buy them (thus the entire system could not be automated). And a half-assed auto system with the other half of the population not having a clue as to what's going on is the proverbial "recipe for disaster".
Thanks to things like government subsidies, trade-ins, and system adaptations, this isn't true either. Yay.

As for my final point, in a fully automated system, one little problem can cause a massive domino effect. Generally, the more complex something is the likelier something will get messed up (though failure is eventually guaranteed even in a simple system). Think cancer; the reason it's so difficult to destroy is because it's so darn simple!
Did you know that cascading failure is almost always the result of human intervention in the real world? automated systems rarely, if ever, have cascading failure because of failsafes.


still not convinced :tongue:


It's like you said yourself a few posts ago -it'll only be safe when the entire system is automated. Completely. No exception.

Which means people would need to be automated as well, since their behavior is an inherent part of the system.
I agree it would only work on a fully automated road, however I disagree about needing to "automate" people. YOu just need to remove them from the equation by making it not possible for them to assume control, which is simple enough.

Christ Deffy, you live in socal.. how many friggin' beaters do you see on the highway everyday? Do you think people's attitudes will change just because their car does more than tell 'em to buckle up?
It's exactly because of this that I am so in favor of a fully automated system. Most all crashes are the result of selfish human behavior or lack of attention, which an automated system would fix.

How many people won't jury rig their car to run without the sensor anyway, because they're late for work and can't care enough to deal with it? What do we do with these people, since they'll hardly stands out using generalized multiple choice tests?

It's human nature I don't trust, not the automated systems... and those two will be at war for the domination of the steering wheel for a looong time coming me thinks.
This is true, but just like tollroads and HOVs, the government can step in and make certain roads automated-only and have systems in place keeping regular cars off of them.

The system wouldn't work without government intervention, admittedly, though.
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Eileen Collinson
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 6:09 am

And you know any better? Honestly once a person gets ahold of the security system that links the car to the main computer, there is no reason they couldn't get into the inner-workings of the car itself and shut down that fail-safe. Honestly, you're kind of in the minority in this thread, it seems to me that a lot of people would much prefer to remain in control of their vehicles. Can you think of the reason why? Hint: It's because human judgement, while prone to errors, is in general, better then a computer systems, because we can account for ALL external factors, not just what the car can sense. A fully autonomous car is just a bad idea in general, until they can guarantee 100% safety 100% of the time, with absolutely no chance of error. And since there is always a possibility of error, especially in computer systems, that will never happen. Even beyond that, It still will never happen because, like in this thread, people who think fully autonomous cars are the greatest thing ever, are going to be in the minority to the people who enjoy driving and don't want to give it up to a computer system. This is a novelty, nothing more, nothing less.
Weird. In my experience human error is more common than computer errors in just about every situation imaginable. Even if that weren't true (for example, when/if factors the computer isn't aware of come into play) you're comparing to a human under ideal circumstances. I find that humans tend to operate motor vehicles at FAR below optimal levels of acuity...even for a human. A computer would operate at 100% capacity 100% of the time. I'd be willing to bet that would more than make up for the computers inability to understand what to do when a helicopter full of ninjas is shooting armadillos in stealth pajamas at you.

My friend there is no such thing as a failsafe for any given situation (even in a fully-automated system, which by the way would be incredibly difficult to organize world-wide or even country-wide), it's the beauty of our world :biggrin: . Not to mention that these cars would probably cost significantly more and few would buy them (thus the entire system could not be automated). And a half-assed auto system with the other half of the population not having a clue as to what's going on is the proverbial "recipe for disaster". As for my final point, in a fully automated system, one little problem can cause a massive domino effect. Generally, the more complex something is the likelier something will get messed up (though failure is eventually guaranteed even in a simple system). Think cancer; the reason it's so difficult to destroy is because it's so darn simple!
There are a lot of incorrect and unsubstantiated assumptions here, but whatever. I give up. A lot of the issues people are bringing up can be handled. You guys have seen too many TV shows with hackers and computer failures as part of the plot...or something. :tongue:
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Isabel Ruiz
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 3:48 pm

People have given up the majority of control in the majority of vehicles. The only one where it hasn't happened yet is the average household car. Humans are incapable of driving most vehicles by hand, actually. So you are quite literally wrong. In fact, the last time people refused to give up control was when commercial jet airliners first started gaining popularity. Guess what? airplane crashes during landing were greatly increased until the FAA basically told pilots to let the computers do their dang job.

To bad the majority of vehicles that are driven ARE IN FACT PERSONAL AUTOMOBILES. Cars and trucks vastly outnumber all other forms of transportation combined, and that includes trains, planes, ships, hot air balloons, subways, and any other vehicle you can think of. So in fact it is you that are in wrong in this situation. The vast majority of transportation is done by the individual and their own personally owned automobile, and they will not give up that control.
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Ashley Clifft
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:37 pm

People have given up the majority of control in the majority of vehicles. The only one where it hasn't happened yet is the average household car. Humans are incapable of driving most vehicles by hand, actually. So you are quite literally wrong. In fact, the last time people refused to give up control was when commercial jet airliners first started gaining popularity. Guess what? airplane crashes during landing were greatly increased until the FAA basically told pilots to let the computers do their dang job.

Do you realize what you just said? It's something like; "yeah people have pretty much stopped living in apartment buildings, the only exception is the average urban center." You basically stated the exception is ONLY about 80%!
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Kellymarie Heppell
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 5:13 pm

It's human nature I don't trust, not the automated systems... and those two will be at war for the domination of the steering wheel for a looong time coming me thinks.
Yup. But there's always resistance to change, even beneficial change.
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Ashley Tamen
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 7:16 pm

My computer already crashes three times a week, and it doesn't even have a car around it yet..

fist there will be conflicting standards of technology, legislature and basically no one will know what the [censored] is going on..

then we simmer down into the hell pit of 'produced by the lowest bidder' because that always works bang on with everything else..

to eventually come to rest in an era of shoddy installments, software security updates during hairpin corners, and then the frigging cell connection is broken leaving you carreening through a tunnel with only half the software updated..


it sounds great on paper, but our current society isn't mature enough to provide this kind of unwavering quality without a hitch 100% of the time.

thus, death traps.


/end semi rant
You seem to have little understanding of how such automated systems work. As a prime example we have airliners, which have been using computers to control flight since the late 70's. They are multiple-redundancy systems - multiple processors that are manufactured under very controlled conditions. Boats have similar autopilot systems that have been in use since before that.

It does actually, think about it; if the computer malfunctions you're totally screwed, a human can still drive much better than a machine and can react much better to new situations.
And if the person malfunctions? Falls asleep? Gets distracted? Computers can react (brake, etc) much faster then a human could ever hope to.

Just because some of you have issues with where you live and the traffic, doesn't mean it would be ok to force everyone to use cars like this. That's like saying you should outlaw Alcohol(though I'm sure some of you think that would be perfectly acceptable) because some people are idiots and do dumb things when they get drunks. Don't judge everyone based on a handful of idiots. I will never give up my right and ability to drive, I'd soon as rather go to jail, or move to a different country then do that. And that includes even if they just made it mandatory in SOME places(like freeways/interstates).
Hate to break it to you, but driving is not a right. You have a driver's license - a license granted to you by the state that says you are capable of driving. The state can also take that license away if you prove incapable of driving.

Read Top Killa's comment (two comments up from yours); a human doesn't make stupid, obvious mistakes like that only a machine does because it's incapable of logical thought.
I'm sorry, but the psychologist in me is giggling right now. Humans are not capable of logical thought to the extent that a computer is. Humans do make stupid, obvious makes (erm, mistakes, but that proves my point :P) all the time, and not only while driving. Getting drunk while driving? Check. Eating while driving? Check. Looking down at your radio? Check.

Like I said, it's not as capable as a human, I wouldn't feel safe letting a mindless machine make life-or-death decisions for me, neither would I feel safe knowing other cars are using this system and may suddenly crash into me because of a small malfunction.
You've flown in a modern airplane? Then you've put your life in the hands of an automated pilot. On a cruise-liner? Yup.

But that means making sweeping generalisations about an entire population of drivers, both good ones and bads ones..

I drive a bike, so I'm biased..


no matter which way you want to throw this, you're dealing with unfounded hypotheticals, since as far as we know there's only the one test subject for google, and a handful of others..

and the day a computer can outride me on a motorcycle is the day I trade in my bike for a walker, start eating dinner at 4:30pm.. wear my trousers above my belly button..

:yes:
A computer can react so much faster then you it's not even funny. :tongue:
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Lindsay Dunn
 
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Post » Tue May 15, 2012 7:33 am

Do you realize what you just said? It's something like; "yeah people have pretty much stopped living in apartment buildings, the only exception is the average urban center." You basically stated the exception is ONLY about 80%!
Erm, cars may play a large role in short-distance and single-unit transit, but the vast majority of transportation does not involve the household car, but the likes of trains and ships (and planes to a slightly lesser extent, though also the one most automated due to being far too complex for humans to pilot them anymore).
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Shaylee Shaw
 
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Post » Mon May 14, 2012 8:49 pm

No it wouldn't, actually. Since most of the traffic control systems are already automated, the job is already half-done. I <3 sigalert.


Thanks to things like government subsidies, trade-ins, and system adaptations, this isn't true either. Yay.


Did you know that cascading failure is almost always the result of human intervention in the real world? automated systems rarely, if ever, have cascading failure because of failsafes.

1. Traffic lights aren't nearly "half" of the job and it's funny you of all people would think that.

2. Yeah of course the government is going to help out when they are reluctant to provide basic health care. Of course! Pshaw! How could I have not thought of this!

3. Human intervention is inevitable since it's required to make the system work.
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