If you're a werewolf, according to Kodlak, your wolf spirit comes to claim you before you reach the Hall of Valor, which if you ask me, should be pretty easy as a dovahkiin to kill. As far as Nocturnal goes, if you speak to Tsun, he basically says you wont be getting in when you die due to your binding contract, if you tell him you are a nightingale. Between the three, it seems that Nocturnal wins your soul in the end. If it was me, I'd tell nocturnal "Thanks for the armor, but I want to keep my soul, thanks. You can have your stupid powers. I dont need them to kill that scrub."
Can you take Mercer down without joining the Nightingales? That's sure what I'd prefer but the dialog with Karliah doesn't seem to give you an option to say "no, I don't want to take the oath." heck, I didn't even want the dern Nightingale armour. It's grossly underpowered compared to the Ebony armour I have.
Maybe I'm missing something?
I've got a save just before taking the oath...