Yeah sorry that one wasn't directed at you.
Given we know Saadia's story is fabricated(Source: The Great War), we have to determine a reason to lie in this situation. Why not just outright say, there's a band of redguards trying to kidnap me? She's already revealed she was a Redguard noble, so it's not like she's afraid you're going to attempt the same thing. So why would she lie?
I'll leave that one to you to answer. Make it good.
Secondly. Hammerfell is nearly unanimously 100% anti-thalmor. If she's afraid of assassins, she's got a bunch of body-guards as a noble. Even if she decides to flee the country, she'd still have some sort of protection with her as a noble.
Third. Nothing in Kematu's story is contradicted by in game lore.
Lastly, I asked this before too but it was never answered. What do you propose Kematu is if not what he claims?
To me the entire scenario is suspect. There just isn't enough information given to us, so anything I have to say is simply speculation for the sake of enjoying speculation. (And my real in-game choice would be as previously stated).
Mostly I got stuck on the glaring fact that the Great War ended 26 years ago... Obviously Saadia is a liar because there's no reason for her to leave Hammerfell if she spoke out against the Thalmor. The Redguards never accepted the Thalmor either during or after the Great War, and then they went to war with them on their own and won, so that story is ridiculous. On the other side of things, if Saadia was a Thalmor sympathizer why is she in hiding? Skyrim's official government have accepted the Thalmor, and certainly Whiterun is Imperial, so Kematu's version of her being pro-Thalmor doesn't give much of a reason for her to be in hiding - especially at least 26 years after she's supposed to have betrayed the city.
Now more of it being at least 26 years later... The Alik'r contingent in Skyrim is large. You said 20-30 in your posts. Why are there so many armed and determined people hunting her now after 26 years? To me, that many resources indicates that the real reason she's being hunted is either recent or personal. I find it unlikely that even a major war criminal would be hounded by an entire force of professionals for 26 years.
Oddly enough, I find Saadia's inconsistency and obvious lie something in her favor. Personally I think the real reason Kematu's hunting her is something that neither party will reveal. It's something too important to them, or too personal, or too embarrassing, or something with such serious ramifications that neither party will risk revealing the truth. So in this scenario Kematu has the polished lie. He's hunting her and he has carefully thought out his justifications for doing so. On the other hand Saadia is genuinely afraid and unprepared and messes up her lie. Maybe she's not used to lying?
As for Kematu, he could have any number of reasons for hunting her besides the reason he gave. Anything from extremely personal (a jilted lover) to not even knowing her and just hunting her for money. Just because he has the more plausible story, it doesn't mean it's true. I don't know of any evidence from an independent source to back up either of their stories.
And you still didn't say how you did this quest in your game.
