» Sat May 28, 2011 11:00 pm
First you need to break down the wholesale price of gas. Crude oil is priced about $112 per barrel, from which the refining process (which will cost $12-$13 per barrel) will extract 42 gallons of oil. So you're looking at almost $3 a gallon just to break even. Here in the U.S. the federal gas tax is 18.5 cents per gallon, the state gas taxes range from 4-5 cents (Alaska) to 40-45 cents per gallon (New York, California) and add to that 5-10 cents per gallon for the station itself. Add to that the cost of transportation and administration (payroll, health benefits, advertising, ect) and you see where the cost of gas goes. In the end the net profit for oil companies is about 4 cents per gallon (pre-tax), so even if an oil company were willing to cut their profits by half it would only knock off a few cents.
I've been hearing about "Peak Oil" for 30 years and it always seems to have-just-happened, is-about-to-happen or will-happen-in15-20-years, so I'm not buying that idea any more. Just look at the study a little closer, are they talking about Oil Reserves, Oil Supply or Oil Resources. Oil Reserves means crude oil that has been pumped and is sitting in a barrel (consistently about a 5-10 year supply), Oil Supply is oil sitting in a well waiting to be pumped (consistently about a 50 year supply) and Oil Resources is all the rest of the oil in the world that we know about but don't know how to get (over 1000 years worth but if we can't get to it then does it matter?). Oil is a big business and there is constant technological advances allowing access to more of the proven resources, the world firs oil well (in Pennsylvania I believe) only went down 69 feet, versus 30K today.
OPEC does have strict control over the price of oil, and those countries get together on a regular basis to decide how much each will pump to keep the prices where they want. Every other oil producing country mostly goes with the price OPEC sets. But right now the prices are being set in American dollars. With the dollar weakening all commodities priced by the dollar (Gold, Silver, Oil) are going up in price. Right now the world runs on oil, so even with some people cutting back on driving it's not enough to even register on the global market. The price of crude is high because companies are willing to pay those prices.
What can be done about it? Without getting to deep I'd say either to strengthen or abandon the US dollar on the global market, mass produce alternative energies (I'd like to take the kind of power plants used in US Navy ships and hook them up in small towns across the US, but thats just me) or find a country(s) with enough oil to produce and set their own global prices as a counter to OPEC. However the humanitarian in me feels that the people in the OPEC countries need that income more that I need cheaper gas, but it's not a perfect world where that is actually happening.