Question has already been asked in the topic title so it would be a bit redundant to re ask the question again here now wouldnt it?

January, expect it late January early February.

it was said in january, after the holidays they would start throwing new things at us like bug fixes and the CK

On January 1st, at about 12:05 a.m., I'm sure you will start seeing the 'It's January, where is the Creation Kit?' posts.

12:05? That's a bit of an underestimate isn't it

In Valve-time.

Its already a bit too late. Most of us that produce mods are already growing bored with the games content. Myself, I produce mods to change the game in such a way that I would want to play it and then release those mods to the public for whoever may want them.

I love the games exploration aspects and dungeons, but again, like Oblivion there really is no reason to ever do many quests twice. Often there is no option to do things differently or choose another way of performing the quest to get a different outcome.

I applaud the people who have made what mods they can already, but by late January I doubt there will be anything in Skyrim I haven't already seen that would make me want to replay it again even with mods.

My opinion is that they really dropped the ball with modding this time by not having the CK out within a few days of the games release.