Alright so it seems the Ulfric debate has only gone in circles and no one can agree. So I thought we would start this discussion on whether or not Skyrim could defend herself and or even go on the offensive against the Aldmeri Dominion.
To start I'm going to throw in this link that gives us the details of the Great War.
http://www.uesp.net/wiki/Skyrim:The_Great_War
I for one think Skryim would actually do quite well in a war with the Dominion if she gained her independence from the Empire. And I shall share my reasons why.
So lets start with the Aldmeri Dominion and the Great war
So reading through the report detailing the war, its quite clear the Thalmor weren't truly in a position to be making demands of anyone. Yes the Empire was reeling from the war and many of her Legions were under manned and tired. But the Thalmor weren't in good shape either. The main Aldmeri army in Cyrodiil was completely destroyed and the General; Lord Naarifin deceased. Signing the White-Gold Concordat and giving away the southern coast line of Hammerfell to the Dominion, cost the Empire all of Hammerfell. The 5 year war that followed with the Dominion and Hammerfell ended in a stalemate and the Second Treaty of Stros M'kai which expelled all of the Dominion from Hammerfell. This shows us that the Dominion was so weakened from the Great war that it didn't truly have the resources or man power to sustain a war with a single province. The Redguards declare that this is proof that if the Empire stayed in the war with the combined might of all the Imperial provinces that the Aldmeri Dominion would of been defeated.
This defeat by the Empire and Hammerfell shows that the Aldmeri Dominion isn't the true powerhouse that everyone makes them out to be. They didn't even truly conquer Valenwood or Elsweyr. Valenwood was absorbed into the Dominion during a coup and Elsweyr was taken in during the disappearance of the moons. Which demoralized the Khajiit as the moons play a big part in their religion. When the moons reappeared the Altmer claimed credit, saying they made the moons reappear. The Khajiit were over joyed and declared the High elves savior and from that point on grew distant from the Empire. Its debated if the Altmer had anything to do with the reappearance of the moons or if they just knew that the moons would reappear at that time. So in terms of mass military conquest the Dominion seems to be lacking.
We can't really tell because all we've seen so far is the Thalmor. But it seems the Dominion only uses the High Elves as their military arm. If this is true that means the Dominion has a very small pool to draw from for its military. And since the High Elves are so long lived and assuming the birth rate is far lower than the rest of the races, they wouldn't be capable of going through another war. I think this is one of the reasons the Aldmeri Dominion actually signed the White-Gold Concordat. This would give them time to build up a new army and sow dissension among the Empire. Which can be seen in the loss of Hammerfell and Skyrim. Over all it looks like the Dominion only makes use of the Wood Elves and Khajiit as servants. You can see this in the Diplomatic immunity quest.
Now lets discuss Skyrim
Compared to Hammerfell which is a next door neighbor to the Summerset Isle, Skyrim is one of the furthest provinces away from the Island. Hammerfell and Highrock also happen to be between Skyrim and the Island. Both Hammerfell and High Rock are not on friendly terms with the Dominion. To get an army into Skyrim they would either have to sail past Hammerfell and Highrock and enter Skyrim from the Northern Sea. Looking at the Northern sea it's quite clear that its a body of water quite inhospitable to boats friendly to only Ice wraiths and Horkers. The many boats of Dunmer and Nordic origin are a testament of how treacherous those waters are. And this is without the Nords themselves repelling any invasion by sea. The Nords are undisputed masters of the sea and sea warfare. The only people who can claim any competition with the Nords in sea warfare are the Redguards. So this option isn't even really a option. The only viable way the Dominion has a shot of getting into Skyrim is through Morrowind.
Moving through Morrowind would probably be easier said then done. What Dunmer that remain would probably be very difficult to deal with and the Argonian's would probably be even worse. It would probably be a slow enough progress that the Nords would get wind of an invading army rather quickly and would set up defenses along the Eastern border and prepare Windhelm for siege.
Then there is dealing with Skyrim's terrain and weather itself. Skyrim is famed for its harsh and dangerous land. It is flanked by the tallest mountains in Tamriel save Red Mountain. These mountains making a natural wall around the land. The Wild life is among the most dangerous in Tamriel, home to packs of wolves, bears, the generally peaceful Giants and their mammoths, Ice wraiths, giant cats, the ill tempered horkers and the infamous Trolls. The experience of all this at once would be incredibly jarring for a High Elven army. There isn't much farm land to be had in Skyrim and the Elves would have to make do with hunting game and scavenging berries from the land. This would leave them open to attacks from the wild life and most of all, open to attacks from the local Nords. The land is full of Cairns and caves with which the Nords can launch raids. I'm sure the Elves would scour these area's finding Draugr and trap alike. Cant stress home field advantage enough here
Then there are the Nords. With the land they grow up in, its hardly a surprise they grow up to be some of the toughest warriors in Tamriel. Being heavily muscled and being the second tallest people in Tamriel they are built to fight. I don't think its ever stated but I think the Nords made up the majority of the Imperial Legion or at least they were the second largest group within the Legion. So many of the Nords in Skyrim have had military training. Fighting is the norm in Nordic culture, brawls are generally used to settle debates. The only school of magic accepted in Skyrim is the school of Restoration. Magic is other wise seen as weak and for the Elves.
Anyways lets get back to why I think they could survive a war with the Dominion

The Nords have been at war with the Elves ever since the Night of Tears. When the Falmer tried to cull the Nords numbers. Ysgramor escaped and later returned with the 500 companions and nearly drove the Falmer to extinction. From there the Nords conquered High Rock and Morrowind. They supported the Slave Queen Alessia in the rebellion and instrumental in breaking the Elves control over the mainland. They along side the Akavir appear to be responsible for the near extinction of the dragons, which is impressive in itself. So the Nords did this all while the Elves were at the height of their power. But to get back to a more modern time of Tamriel. In 3E 396 the The War of the Bend'r-mahk took place, where Skyrim destroyed the combined armies of Hammerfell and High Rock and gained a significant portion of both lands. We can see the outcomes of this with Markarth and the Forsworn. This shows that that Nords are more than capable at fighting both a very martial people and a people with magic nearly rivaling those of the High Elves, at the same time. And maintain the land they took from them.
So if the Nords can beat a combined army of both Redguard and Bretons, one of whom fought the Dominion to a stand still. Why shouldn't they be any more capable of defeating the Dominion? From their distant position and having a great proficiency in raiding and sea warfare. It seems the Nords would be ideal to defend Skyrim and launch raids on the Summerset isle. If the Nords form of raids are anything like the Vikings of history, they could harass the entire coast line of the Island and force the Dominion to relax its hold on the mainland and have to deal with the Nord threat on their home land. This itself would give the Empire some real breathing room. If the Nords did this I feel the Redguard would quickly join the Nords in raiding the Island and make the Dominion worry. If not I'm fairly sure the Redguards wouldn't object to some Nordic traders setting up base on the coastline of Hammerfell ;D The Dominion would be in no real position to be muscling the Nords around on the open sea.
There is the chance the Nords could also start to pick up the Thu'um again in small amounts. The fact Ulfric knows how to shout could mean more nobles or champions could learn this as well. The Thu'um caused the near extinction of the Dragons and started the first Nordic Empire and the current day Empire. Having a one man Siege engine would be devastating on the enemy.
I don't think I covered everything but its late and I should be doing ma art home work..... so yeah let the debate begin


