I've been wondering this for some time now (sorry if this has already been a thread). I have a few ideas on who it could be, but for the most part those just seem unlikely.
I don't think so on this one, because why would the letters still say "a friend" after you've met?
Spoiler Arngier (or the other monks on High Hrothgar)
Nope, they want your power to grow slowly, with meditation and practice. They wouldn't send you out to get more words before you've even met them. (You can get courier messages from "a friend" before ever completing any of their story. As soon as you kill the dragon in the very beginning you can begin recieving courier messages)
I don't feel like it could reasonably be any of the main NPC's, because of the same reason - why would it still say "a friend" after you've met?
But in that case, who is it?